backend/agents/workflow.py

"""LangGraph workflow for multi-agent portfolio analysis.

This implements the multi-phase architecture:
Phase 1: Data Layer MCPs (Yahoo Finance, FMP, Trading-MCP, FRED)
Phase 2: Computation Layer MCPs (Portfolio Optimizer, Risk Analyzer)
Phase 2.5: ML Predictions (Ensemble Predictor with Chronos)
Phase 3: LLM Synthesis (Portfolio Analyst Agent)
"""

import logging
import time
from typing import Dict, Any, List
from datetime import datetime, timezone
from decimal import Decimal

from langgraph.graph import StateGraph, END
from backend.models.agent_state import AgentState, MCPCall
from backend.agents.portfolio_analyst import PortfolioAnalystAgent
from backend.agents.personas import create_persona_agent, PersonaType

logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)


def summarize_fred_data(series_data: Dict[str, Any], indicator_name: str) -> Dict[str, Any]:
    """Summarize FRED time series to key statistics for token efficiency.

    Args:
        series_data: FRED API response with observations
        indicator_name: Name of the economic indicator

    Returns:
        Summarised statistics dictionary
    """
    if not series_data or 'observations' not in series_data:
        return {}

    observations = series_data['observations']
    if not observations:
        return {}

    # Extract values
    values = [float(obs.get('value', 0)) for obs in observations if obs.get('value')]
    if not values:
        return {}

    # Calculate statistics
    current = values[-1]
    mean = sum(values) / len(values)

    return {
        'name': indicator_name,
        'current': round(current, 4),
        'mean': round(mean, 4),
        'min': round(min(values), 4),
        'max': round(max(values), 4),
        'observations_count': len(values),
        'trend': 'up' if current > mean else 'down'
    }


class PortfolioAnalysisWorkflow:
    """LangGraph workflow for portfolio analysis."""

    def __init__(
        self,
        mcp_router,
        roast_mode: bool = False,
        persona: PersonaType | str | None = None
    ):
        """Initialise the workflow with MCP router.

        Args:
            mcp_router: MCP router instance for calling MCP servers
            roast_mode: If True, use brutal honesty mode for analysis
            persona: Optional investor persona (e.g., 'warren_buffett', 'cathie_wood', 'ray_dalio')
        """
        self.mcp_router = mcp_router
        self.roast_mode = roast_mode
        self.persona = persona

        # Initialise the appropriate analyst agent
        if persona:
            # Use persona-based analysis
            self.analyst_agent = create_persona_agent(persona)
            logger.info(f"Using persona agent: {persona}")
        else:
            # Use standard analysis (with optional roast mode)
            self.analyst_agent = PortfolioAnalystAgent(roast_mode=roast_mode)
            logger.info(f"Using standard analyst (roast_mode={roast_mode})")

        # Build the workflow graph
        self.workflow = self._build_workflow()

    def _build_workflow(self) -> StateGraph:
        """Build the LangGraph workflow."""
        workflow = StateGraph(AgentState)

        # Add nodes for each phase
        workflow.add_node("phase_1_data_layer", self._phase_1_data_layer)
        workflow.add_node("phase_2_computation", self._phase_2_computation)
        workflow.add_node("phase_2_5_ml_predictions", self._phase_2_5_ml_predictions)
        workflow.add_node("phase_3_synthesis", self._phase_3_synthesis)

        # Define the flow
        workflow.set_entry_point("phase_1_data_layer")
        workflow.add_edge("phase_1_data_layer", "phase_2_computation")
        workflow.add_edge("phase_2_computation", "phase_2_5_ml_predictions")
        workflow.add_edge("phase_2_5_ml_predictions", "phase_3_synthesis")
        workflow.add_edge("phase_3_synthesis", END)

        return workflow.compile()

    async def _phase_1_data_layer(self, state: AgentState) -> AgentState:
        """Phase 1: Fetch all data from data layer MCPs.

        MCPs called:
        - Yahoo Finance: Real-time quotes and historical data
        - FMP: Company fundamentals
        - Trading-MCP: Technical indicators
        - FRED: Economic indicators
        """
        logger.info("PHASE 1: Fetching data from Data Layer MCPs")
        phase_start = time.perf_counter()

        tickers = [h["ticker"] for h in state["holdings"]]

        try:
            # Fetch market data (Yahoo Finance)
            logger.debug(f"Fetching market data for {len(tickers)} tickers")
            market_data_list = await self.mcp_router.call_yahoo_finance_mcp("get_quote", {"tickers": tickers})

            # Transform list to dict keyed by ticker
            market_data = {}
            for quote in market_data_list:
                ticker = quote.get("ticker") or quote.get("symbol")
                if ticker:
                    market_data[ticker] = quote

            # Fetch historical data for each ticker
            historical_data = {}
            for ticker in tickers:
                hist = await self.mcp_router.call_yahoo_finance_mcp(
                    "get_historical_data",
                    {"ticker": ticker, "period": "1y", "interval": "1d"}
                )
                historical_data[ticker] = hist

            # Fetch fundamentals (FMP)
            logger.debug("Fetching company fundamentals")
            fundamentals = {}
            for ticker in tickers:
                fund = await self.mcp_router.call_fmp_mcp("get_company_profile", {"ticker": ticker})
                fundamentals[ticker] = fund

            # Fetch technical indicators (Trading-MCP)
            logger.debug("Calculating technical indicators")
            technical_indicators = {}
            for ticker in tickers:
                tech = await self.mcp_router.call_trading_mcp(
                    "get_technical_indicators",
                    {"ticker": ticker, "period": "3mo"}
                )
                technical_indicators[ticker] = tech

            # Fetch economic data (FRED)
            logger.debug("Fetching economic indicators")
            economic_data = {}
            for series_id in ["GDP", "UNRATE", "DFF"]:
                econ = await self.mcp_router.call_fred_mcp("get_economic_series", {"series_id": series_id})
                economic_data[series_id] = summarize_fred_data(econ, series_id)

            # Fetch news sentiment (Enhancement #3 - News Sentiment MCP)
            logger.debug("Fetching news sentiment for all holdings")
            sentiment_data = {}
            for ticker in tickers:
                try:
                    sentiment = await self.mcp_router.call_news_sentiment_mcp(
                        "get_news_with_sentiment",
                        {"ticker": ticker, "days_back": 7}
                    )
                    sentiment_data[ticker] = sentiment
                    logger.debug(f"{ticker} sentiment: {sentiment.get('overall_sentiment', 0):.2f}")
                except Exception as e:
                    logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch sentiment for {ticker}: {e}")
                    # Continue with empty sentiment on error
                    sentiment_data[ticker] = {
                        "ticker": ticker,
                        "overall_sentiment": 0.0,
                        "confidence": 0.0,
                        "article_count": 0,
                        "articles": [],
                        "error": str(e)
                    }

            # Enrich holdings with market values based on realtime data
            enriched_holdings = []
            for holding in state["holdings"]:
                ticker = holding.get("ticker")
                quantity = holding.get("quantity", 0)
                dollar_amount = holding.get("dollar_amount", 0)

                # Get current price from realtime_data
                current_price = None
                if ticker in market_data:
                    price_data = market_data[ticker]
                    current_price = price_data.get("price", 0) or price_data.get("regularMarketPrice", 0)

                # Calculate market value
                if quantity > 0 and current_price:
                    market_value = Decimal(str(quantity)) * Decimal(str(current_price))
                elif dollar_amount > 0:
                    market_value = Decimal(str(dollar_amount))
                else:
                    market_value = Decimal("0")

                # Create enriched holding (immutable pattern)
                enriched_holding = {
                    **holding,
                    "current_price": current_price,
                    "market_value": float(market_value)
                }
                enriched_holdings.append(enriched_holding)

            # Calculate total portfolio value
            total_portfolio_value = sum(h["market_value"] for h in enriched_holdings)

            # Calculate portfolio weights
            for holding in enriched_holdings:
                if total_portfolio_value > 0:
                    holding["weight"] = holding["market_value"] / total_portfolio_value
                else:
                    # Edge case: equal weights if total is 0
                    holding["weight"] = 1.0 / len(enriched_holdings) if len(enriched_holdings) > 0 else 0.0

            # Log for verification
            logger.info(f"Portfolio total value: ${total_portfolio_value:,.2f}, weights sum: {sum(h['weight'] for h in enriched_holdings):.4f}")

            # Update state with enriched holdings
            state["holdings"] = enriched_holdings

            # Update state
            state["historical_prices"] = historical_data
            state["fundamentals"] = fundamentals
            state["realtime_data"] = market_data
            state["technical_indicators"] = technical_indicators
            state["economic_data"] = economic_data
            state["sentiment_data"] = sentiment_data  # Enhancement #3
            state["current_step"] = "phase_1_complete"

            # Log MCP calls
            state["mcp_calls"].extend([
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "yahoo_finance", "tool": "get_quote"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "yahoo_finance", "tool": "get_historical_data"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "fmp", "tool": "get_company_profile"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "trading_mcp", "tool": "get_technical_indicators"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "fred", "tool": "get_economic_series"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "news_sentiment", "tool": "get_news_with_sentiment"}).model_dump(),
            ])

            # Track phase duration
            phase_duration_ms = int((time.perf_counter() - phase_start) * 1000)
            state["phase_1_duration_ms"] = phase_duration_ms

            logger.info(f"PHASE 1 COMPLETE: Fetched data for {len(tickers)} assets ({phase_duration_ms}ms)")

        except Exception as e:
            logger.error(f"Error in Phase 1: {e}")
            state["errors"].append(f"Phase 1 error: {str(e)}")

        return state

    async def _phase_2_computation(self, state: AgentState) -> AgentState:
        """Phase 2: Run computational models with data from Phase 1.

        MCPs called:
        - Portfolio Optimizer: HRP, Black-Litterman, Mean-Variance
        - Risk Analyzer: VaR, CVaR, Monte Carlo
        """
        logger.info("PHASE 2: Running Computation Layer MCPs")
        phase_start = time.perf_counter()

        try:
            # Prepare market data for optimization
            market_data_list = []
            for ticker, hist_data in state["historical_prices"].items():
                market_data_list.append({
                    "ticker": ticker,
                    "prices": hist_data.get("close_prices", []),
                    "dates": hist_data.get("dates", []),
                })

            # Check for single-asset portfolio (requires minimum 2 assets for optimization)
            unique_tickers = set(ticker for ticker in state["historical_prices"].keys())
            is_single_asset = len(unique_tickers) < 2

            # Run portfolio optimizations
            logger.debug("Running portfolio optimizations")

            if is_single_asset:
                # Single-asset fallback: cannot optimise, show 100% allocation
                single_ticker = list(unique_tickers)[0]
                logger.info(f"Single-asset portfolio detected ({single_ticker}) - skipping optimization, showing 100% allocation")

                # Create fallback optimization results with 100% allocation
                fallback_weights = {single_ticker: 1.0}

                # Calculate basic metrics from the single asset
                ticker_holding = next(
                    (h for h in state["holdings"] if h["ticker"] == single_ticker),
                    None
                )

                fallback_result = {
                    "weights": fallback_weights,
                    "expected_return": 0.0,
                    "volatility": 0.0,
                    "sharpe": 0.0,
                }

                hrp_result = fallback_result
                bl_result = fallback_result
                mv_result = {
                    **fallback_result,
                    "message": "Portfolio optimization requires minimum 2 assets. Showing current 100% allocation."
                }

            else:
                # Multiple assets: proceed with normal optimization
                # HRP
                hrp_result = await self.mcp_router.call_portfolio_optimizer_mcp(
                    "optimize_hrp",
                    {
                        "market_data": market_data_list,
                        "method": "hrp",
                        "risk_tolerance": state["risk_tolerance"],
                    }
                )

                # Black-Litterman
                bl_result = await self.mcp_router.call_portfolio_optimizer_mcp(
                    "optimize_black_litterman",
                    {
                        "market_data": market_data_list,
                        "method": "black_litterman",
                        "risk_tolerance": state["risk_tolerance"],
                    }
                )

                # Mean-Variance
                mv_result = await self.mcp_router.call_portfolio_optimizer_mcp(
                    "optimize_mean_variance",
                    {
                        "market_data": market_data_list,
                        "method": "mean_variance",
                        "risk_tolerance": state["risk_tolerance"],
                    }
                )

            # Run risk analysis
            logger.debug("Running risk analysis")
            portfolio_input = []
            for holding in state["holdings"]:
                ticker = holding["ticker"]
                historical_prices = state["historical_prices"].get(ticker, {}).get("close_prices", [])

                portfolio_input.append({
                    "ticker": ticker,
                    "weight": holding.get("weight", 0),
                    "prices": historical_prices,
                })

            risk_result = await self.mcp_router.call_risk_analyzer_mcp(
                "analyze_risk",
                {
                    "portfolio": portfolio_input,
                    "portfolio_value": sum(h.get("market_value", 0) for h in state["holdings"]),
                    "confidence_level": 0.95,
                    "method": "monte_carlo",
                    "num_simulations": 10000,
                }
            )

            # Update state
            state["optimisation_results"] = {
                "hrp": hrp_result,
                "black_litterman": bl_result,
                "mean_variance": mv_result,
            }
            state["risk_analysis"] = risk_result
            state["current_step"] = "phase_2_complete"

            # Log MCP calls
            state["mcp_calls"].extend([
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "portfolio_optimizer_mcp", "tool": "optimize_hrp"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "portfolio_optimizer_mcp", "tool": "optimize_black_litterman"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "portfolio_optimizer_mcp", "tool": "optimize_mean_variance"}).model_dump(),
                MCPCall.model_validate({"mcp": "risk_analyzer_mcp", "tool": "analyze_risk"}).model_dump(),
            ])

            # Track phase duration
            phase_duration_ms = int((time.perf_counter() - phase_start) * 1000)
            state["phase_2_duration_ms"] = phase_duration_ms

            logger.info(f"PHASE 2 COMPLETE: Optimizations and risk analysis done ({phase_duration_ms}ms)")

        except Exception as e:
            logger.error(f"Error in Phase 2: {e}")
            state["errors"].append(f"Phase 2 error: {str(e)}")

        return state

    async def _phase_2_5_ml_predictions(self, state: AgentState) -> AgentState:
        """Phase 2.5: Generate ML-based price forecasts using Ensemble Predictor.

        MCP called:
        - Ensemble Predictor: Chronos + statistical models for price forecasting
        """
        logger.info("PHASE 2.5: Generating ML predictions")
        phase_start = time.perf_counter()

        try:
            # Generate forecasts for each holding
            logger.debug("Running ensemble forecasts for portfolio holdings")
            ensemble_forecasts = {}

            for holding in state["holdings"]:
                ticker = holding["ticker"]

                # Get historical prices from Phase 1 data
                hist_data = state["historical_prices"].get(ticker, {})
                prices = hist_data.get("close_prices", [])

                if not prices or len(prices) < 10:
                    logger.warning(f"Insufficient price data for {ticker}, skipping forecast")
                    continue

                try:
                    # Call ensemble predictor
                    forecast_result = await self.mcp_router.call_ensemble_predictor_mcp(
                        "forecast_ensemble",
                        {
                            "ticker": ticker,
                            "prices": prices,
                            "forecast_horizon": 30,  # 30-day forecast
                            "confidence_level": 0.95,
                            "use_returns": True,  # Forecast returns for stability
                            "ensemble_method": "mean",  # Simple averaging
                        }
                    )

                    ensemble_forecasts[ticker] = forecast_result
                    logger.debug(f"Generated forecast for {ticker} using {len(forecast_result.get('models_used', []))} models")

                except Exception as e:
                    logger.warning(f"Forecast failed for {ticker}: {e}")
                    continue

            # Update state
            state["ensemble_forecasts"] = ensemble_forecasts
            state["current_step"] = "phase_2_5_complete"

            # Log MCP calls
            state["mcp_calls"].extend([
                MCPCall.model_validate({
                    "mcp": "ensemble_predictor",
                    "tool": "forecast_ensemble"
                }).model_dump(),
            ])

            # Track phase duration
            phase_duration_ms = int((time.perf_counter() - phase_start) * 1000)
            state["phase_2_5_duration_ms"] = phase_duration_ms

            logger.info(
                f"PHASE 2.5 COMPLETE: Generated forecasts for {len(ensemble_forecasts)} assets ({phase_duration_ms}ms)"
            )

        except Exception as e:
            logger.error(f"Error in Phase 2.5: {e}")
            state["errors"].append(f"Phase 2.5 error: {str(e)}")
            # Set empty forecasts to allow workflow to continue
            state["ensemble_forecasts"] = {}

        return state

    async def _phase_3_synthesis(self, state: AgentState) -> AgentState:
        """Phase 3: LLM synthesis of all data into actionable insights."""
        logger.info("PHASE 3: LLM Synthesis")
        phase_start = time.perf_counter()

        try:
            # Prepare data for analyst agent
            portfolio_data = {
                "holdings": state["holdings"],
                "portfolio_id": state.get("portfolio_id", "unknown"),
                "risk_tolerance": state["risk_tolerance"],
            }

            # Call analyst agent (returns AgentResult with usage metrics)
            result = await self.analyst_agent.analyze_portfolio(
                portfolio_data=portfolio_data,
                market_data=state.get("realtime_data", {}),
                fundamentals=state.get("fundamentals", {}),
                technical_indicators=state.get("technical_indicators", {}),
                economic_data=state.get("economic_data", {}),
                optimization_results=state.get("optimisation_results", {}),
                risk_analysis=state.get("risk_analysis", {}),
                ensemble_forecasts=state.get("ensemble_forecasts", {}),
                sentiment_data=state.get("sentiment_data", {}),
                risk_tolerance=state["risk_tolerance"],
            )

            # Extract analysis output and usage metrics
            analysis = result.output

            # Update state with analysis results
            state["ai_synthesis"] = analysis.summary
            state["recommendations"] = analysis.recommendations
            state["reasoning_steps"].extend(analysis.reasoning)
            state["current_step"] = "complete"

            # Track LLM usage metrics
            state["llm_input_tokens"] = result.input_tokens
            state["llm_output_tokens"] = result.output_tokens
            state["llm_total_tokens"] = result.total_tokens
            state["llm_request_count"] = result.request_count

            # Track phase duration
            phase_duration_ms = int((time.perf_counter() - phase_start) * 1000)
            state["phase_3_duration_ms"] = phase_duration_ms

            logger.info(
                f"PHASE 3 COMPLETE: Analysis generated (health score: {analysis.health_score}, "
                f"{result.total_tokens} tokens, {phase_duration_ms}ms)"
            )

        except Exception as e:
            logger.error(f"Error in Phase 3: {e}")
            state["errors"].append(f"Phase 3 error: {str(e)}")

        return state

    async def run(self, initial_state: AgentState) -> AgentState:
        """Run the complete workflow.

        Args:
            initial_state: Initial state with portfolio and query

        Returns:
            Final state with complete analysis
        """
        logger.info(f"Starting portfolio analysis workflow for {len(initial_state['holdings'])} holdings")

        result = await self.workflow.ainvoke(initial_state)

        logger.info("Workflow complete")
        return result